Research Evidence Base

「latin_america_ecommerce_research_findings.md」原文 · 204 条来源引用

LATIN AMERICA ECOMMERCE — RESEARCH FINDINGS

Compiled via web_search (22 searches). All figures below were found in search results — nothing invented. Vintage/year noted per figure. Conflicting numbers flagged inline.


1. Latin America — overall market size, growth, forecast


2. Brazil

Market size & growth

Top platforms (Mercado Livre, Shopee, Amazon, Magalu, Shein)

BNPL / Pix installments & social commerce


3. Mexico


4. Argentina, Chile, Colombia

Argentina (high inflation, installments)

Chile

Colombia


5. Platform landscape

Mercado Libre (dominant)

Amazon

Shopee

Temu / Shein

Regional players


6. Consumer behavior & payments


7. Regional context


⚠ Key conflicts to flag in the final report

  1. Brazil size: R&M US$64.09B (2025, B2C) vs iiMedia US$86.53B (2025, retail revenue) vs ABComm R$235B actual / R$224.7B forecast (~US$42–45B) — definitional differences (B2C vs total retail ecommerce, FX, inclusion of marketplaces). Use one consistent definition per chart.
  2. Chinese platform share in Brazil: "41.5% combined share / Shein top fashion / Temu #1 traffic" vs "Chinese platforms lose ground in Brazil amid taxes" — depends on metric (GMV vs traffic vs period; tax regime change in 2024–25).
  3. LATAM total: no single consensus headline figure; US$200B (2026) is an industry estimate, not eMarketer/Statista official.
  4. Mexico value: US$38.844B vs MX$789.7B (same 2024 year — FX-consistent) vs 6.9%-of-GDP framing.

Sources (full URL list)

  1. https://www.emarketer.com/content/latin-america-ecommerce-forecast-2025-growth-outlook-argentina-brazil-mexico
  2. https://www.emarketer.com/content/latin-america-ecommerce-forecast-2025
  3. https://www.ikj168.com/36935.html
  4. https://www.globenewswire.com/de/news-release/2026/02/04/3232259/28124/en/Latin-America-B2C-Ecommerce-Databook-Report-2025-Bundled-Research-Covering-Latin-America-with-Focus-on-Argentina-Brazil-Chile-Colombia-and-Mexico.html
  5. https://us.kabutan.jp/disclosures/0001193125-26-076504?lang=en#15
  6. https://www.globenewswire.com/de/news-release/2026/01/22/3223437/28124/en/Brazil-B2C-Ecommerce-Business-Report-2025-Market-to-Grow-by-9-9-to-Reach-64-09-Billion-Forecasts-to-2029.html
  7. https://www.iimedia.cn/c1094/109481.html
  8. https://agenciaeplus.com.br/en/e-commerce-2025-abcomm-preve-faturamento-de-r2247-bilhoes-no-brasil/
  9. https://www.jetech-china.com/h-nd-1419.html
  10. https://www.baijing.cn/article/56161
  11. https://www.haibeigoods.com/article/AyPVquEyvgc
  12. https://www.amzmmm.com/archives/6659
  13. https://www.chwang.com/news/182799645704
  14. https://amzdh.com/kjtt/7595.html
  15. https://www.chwang.com/news/185073367176
  16. https://www.tkfff.com/149002.html
  17. https://www.chwe.cn/article/ZfpwVkKoqLu
  18. https://www.dny1.com/Main/ArticleDetails?id=933375506290577408
  19. https://www.amz123.com/t/yU0v0ThN
  20. https://www.dny1.com/Main/ArticleDetails?id=900347646298820608
  21. https://www.dny1.com/Main/ArticleDetails?id=886579476673073152
  22. https://mjzj.com/article/fp9ilf5j6pz5
  23. https://www.heycross.com/article/QQe2dX2A0ReGv
  24. https://www.researchandmarkets.com/reports/6191216/brazil-b2c-ecommerce-market-size-and-forecast
  25. https://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20250228118181/en/Brazil-Buy-Now-Pay-Later-Business-Report-2025-BNPL-Payments-to-Grow-by-14-to-Reach-$4.66-Billion-this-Year-with-Cleo-ADDI-and-DiniePay-Leading---Investment-Opportunities-to-2030---ResearchAndMarkets.com
  26. https://thepaypers.com/payments/news/ebanx-pagaleve-launch-pix-instalment-bnpl-solution-in-brazil
  27. https://valorinternational.globo.com/business/news/2025/04/14/digital-installment-plans-gain-ground-with-brazilian-shoppers.ghtml
  28. https://clearingpost.com/insights/pix-breaks-all-records-in-2025-798-billion-transactions-move-r-3536-trillion/
  29. https://insights.ebanx.com/en/five-years-on-pix-approaches-8-monthly-transactions/
  30. https://business.ebanx.com/en/press-room/press-releases/pix-to-approach-8-billion-monthly-transactions-as-it-marks-five-year-milestone-ebanx-study-finds
  31. https://www.marketresearch.com/PayNXT360-v4075/Brazil-Social-Commerce-Intelligence-Future-44511929/
  32. https://www.americaeconomia.com/en/node/290899
  33. https://www.opportimes.com/en/mexicos-e-commerce-grew-20-in-2024/
  34. https://mexicobusiness.news/ecommerce/news/mexicos-e-commerce-market-was-worth-mx7897-billion-2024
  35. https://mexicobusiness.news/ecommerce/news/mexico-e-commerce-hits-69-gdp-2024
  36. https://www.amz123.com/kx/xv1QYzZM
  37. https://mexicobusiness.news/ecommerce/news/mexico-projected-lead-regions-e-commerce-boom-2026
  38. https://www.researchandmarkets.com/reports/6191211/mexico-b2c-ecommerce-market-size-and-forecast
  39. https://www.6wresearch.com/industry-report/mexico-cross-border-import-e-commerce-market
  40. https://www.ppro.com/insights/mexicos-e-commerce-and-digital-payments-growth-era/
  41. https://www.airwallex.com/cn/blog/mexico-cross-border-ecommerce-guide
  42. https://zxchuhai.com/202603/46332.html
  43. https://kuajingren.com/34037.html
  44. http://www.ms-trainer.com/news-130896.html
  45. https://integracionempresaria.com.ar/en/cybermonday-2025-cerro-con-resultados-positivos-y-mas-de-8-millones-de-usuarios/
  46. https://integracionempresaria.com.ar/el-sector-del-ecommerce-analiza-al-dia-de-la-ninez-las-cuotas-sin-interes-y-otras-estrategias-claves-para-potenciar-ventas/?lang=en
  47. https://www.chwang.com/news/185445599406
  48. https://www.globenewswire.com/de/news-release/2026/01/22/3223436/28124/en/Chile-B2C-Ecommerce-Market-Report-2025-2029-MercadoLibre-Maintains-a-Leading-Position-with-Falabella-and-Others-Embracing-Marketplace-Models-to-Capture-Market-Share.html
  49. https://www.upkuajing.com/knowledge/zixun/22477
  50. https://www.sohu.com/a/949648298_121672345
  51. https://paymentscmi.com/insights/chile-e-commerce-market/
  52. https://www.trademag.org.tw/page/newsid1/?id=7916345&iz=6
  53. https://www.amz123.com/t/3Aq3JRVE
  54. https://www.by56.com/news/49629.html
  55. https://news.mercadolibre.com/en/financial-results-fourth-quarter-2024
  56. https://mexicobusiness.news/ecommerce/news/mercado-libre-4q24-revenue-jumps-37-driven-fintech
  57. https://cn.investing.com/news/stock-market-news/article-2680575
  58. https://www.advfn.com/stock-market/NASDAQ/MELI/options#4
  59. https://derechadiario.com.ar/us/argentina/mercado-libre-is-the-most-valuable-latin-company-on-wall-street
  60. https://stockanalysis.com/stocks/meli/market-cap/
  61. https://hk.investing.com/news/stock-market-news/article-878209
  62. https://100ec.cn/index/detail--6654393.html
  63. https://www.amz123.com/kx/6tYHT7o2
  64. https://africannewsagency.com/brics-series-amazons-investment-in-rappi-unlikely-to-weaken-mercado-libre-in-brazil/
  65. https://www.ikj168.com/23707.html
  66. https://westmoonglobal.com/archives/13303
  67. https://www.10100.com/article/21960329
  68. https://valorinternational.globo.com/business/news/2025/05/14/chinese-platforms-lose-ground-in-brazil-amid-higher-taxes-competition.ghtml
  69. https://www.pymnts.com/news/mobile-commerce/2025/cashless-wave-sweeps-latin-america-amid-mobile-fintech-boom/
  70. https://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20260112971012/en/Latin-America-Digital-Commerce-Payments-in-the-Age-of-AI-2025-2027-Market-Research-Report---Focus-on-Argentina-Brazil-Chile-Colombia-Guatemala-Mexico-and-Peru---ResearchAndMarkets.com
  71. https://www.ystats.com/latest-reports/latam-payment-methods-digital-payments-2025-consumer-trends-and-market-forecasts
  72. https://www.statista.com/study/147231/mobile-commerce-latin-america/
  73. https://www.statista.com/topics/2453/e-commerce-in-latin-america/
  74. https://www.amz123.com/kx/SwP8Mw4I
  75. https://m.cnfin.com/wx/share?url=//m.cnfin.com/hg-lb//zixun/20250623/4255533_1.html
  76. https://www.br-cn.com/static/content/news/br_news/2025-10-28/1432856528092557312.html
  77. https://ecdb.com/resources/sample-data/market/lm/all#market-size-and-growth
  78. https://www.shopify.com/uk/enterprise/blog/global-ecommerce-statistics
  79. https://www.sgpjbg.com.cn/hyshuju/bf851e08bb72b6d04c87533c348e5976.html
  80. https://www.ystats.com/latest-reports/sample-report-global-compendium-2026-volume-5-latin-america-digital-commerce-payments-in-the-age-of-al-2026
  81. https://www.statista.com/study/14764/e-commerce-in-latin-america/
  82. https://www.statista.com/study/102333/online-marketplaces-in-latin-america/
  83. https://www.chwang.com/news/208156013691
  84. https://www.amz123.com/t/0KE5lU1K
  85. https://www.dny1.com/Main/ArticleDetails?id=886255364784263168
  86. https://www.yiofong.com/news/2505157999
  87. https://www.pai.com.cn/p/01k9hd8b0v7a0ykej34en87bjb
  88. https://finance.eastmoney.com/a/202508313500280571.html
  89. https://emiliodecesare.com/latam-trends-for-2026/
  90. https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/latin-american-e-commerce-stock-could-be-worth-500-billion-10-years
  91. https://finance.yahoo.com/news/mercado-libre-delivers-stellar-q4-213700910.html
  92. https://twowayradio.cn/news/article-736
  93. https://www.sgpjbg.com/hyshuju/c4237b5ccc377eb62f69e3789f6f3fea.html
  94. https://www.upseller.com/zh-CN/blog-article-247
  95. https://www.researchandmarkets.com/reports/6191204/chile-b2c-ecommerce-market-size-and-forecast-value

Method note: 22 web searches were run (Latin America overall; Brazil; Mexico; Mercado Libre; eMarketer/LATAM growth; Argentina/Chile/Colombia; cross-border; Pix/BNPL; Shopee; Temu/Shein; MELI earnings; ABComm; AMVO/INEGI; mobile commerce; Amazon Brazil; market cap; social commerce; AOV; regional share; global context). Only numbers surfaced in search results are included; paywalled headline figures (eMarketer, Statista, R&M full reports) are cited as sources for the claims they support, not fabricated.