Research Evidence Base

「asia_pacific_ecommerce_research_findings.md」原文 · 175 条来源引用

Asia-Pacific Ecommerce Market Research Findings

Purpose: Research input for the bilingual (Chinese/English) report "The Worldwide Ecommerce Landscape". Method: 28 web searches run via web_search (retrieval date: January 2026). Every number below is from a retrieved source and carries its URL. Figures are 2024–2025 vintage unless noted. Conflicting numbers across sources are flagged inline and summarized at the end. Usage note: Figures come from search-result snippets/headlines; before quoting in the final report, open each source URL to confirm the exact figure in context.


1. China

Headline numbers

E-commerce share of total retail

Platform landscape

Key dynamics


2. Japan

Headline numbers

Key players


3. South Korea

Headline numbers

Key players

Mobile & social commerce


4. India

Headline numbers (conflicting scopes — flag all)

Festive season (key sales window)

Players

UPI / digital payments

Quick commerce trend


5. Australia / New Zealand

Australia

New Zealand


6. Southeast Asia

Total market (two headline series — flag definitions)

e-Conomy SEA (Google / Temasek / Bain) — broad digital-economy + e-commerce segment: - e-Conomy SEA 2024 (Nov 2024): SEA digital-economy GMV US$263B (+15% YoY); e-commerce segment GMV ≈ US$159B in 2024. - https://blog.google/company-news/inside-google/around-the-globe/google-asia/sea-economy-2024/">Google blog — 3 takeaways - https://www.publicnow.com/view/B690901E44361D403F2ACBE9F379ADF9E1BBBB7E">Bain (via PublicNow) - https://www.asiaecs.com/blog-index-detail-169.html">AsiaECS — per-country GMV summary - https://thediplomat.com/2024/11/growth-in-southeast-asias-digital-economy-slows-slightly-in-2024/">The Diplomat - https://ceoworld.biz/2024/11/06/sea-digital-economy-poised-for-growth-with-ai-and-e-commerce-leading-the-charge-singapore-to-reach-29-billion-in-gmv-by-2024/">CEOWORLD — Singapore $29B GMV - e-Conomy SEA 2025 (Nov 2025): ASEAN digital economy to surpass US$300B GMV in 2025 (7.4x GMV growth in a decade); e-commerce projected ≈ US$181B in 2025. - https://www.temasek.com.sg/en/news-and-resources/news-room/news/2025/e-conomy-sea-2025-report-aseans-digital-economy-poised-to-surpass-300-billion">Temasek - https://www.bain.com/zh/about/media-center/press-releases/sea/e-conomy-sea-2025/">Bain - https://blog.google/company-news/inside-google/around-the-globe/google-asia/sea-economy-2025/">Google blog — ASEAN $300B - https://www.vietnam.vn/en/thuong-mai-dien-tu-dong-nam-a-du-kien-dat-181-ty-usd-nam-2025">Vietnam.vn — $181B e-commerce - https://technode.global/2025/11/11/aseans-digital-economy-poised-to-surpass-300b-in-gmv-by-2025-report/">TNGlobal

Momentum Works — platform-only GMV (narrower, marketplace GMV): - 2024: SEA platform e-commerce GMV = US$128.4B; top-3 platforms = 84% share; Shopee ≈ US$66.8B. - https://thelowdown.momentum.asia/new-report-southeast-asias-platform-ecommerce-gmv-reaches-us128-4b/">Momentum Works - https://thelowdown.momentum.asia/press-release-southeast-asias-platform-ecommerce-gmv-reaches-us128-4b-top-3-platforms-increase-market-share-to-84-momentum-works/">Momentum Works press release - https://www.100ec.cn/detail--6650405.html">100EC — Shopee $66.8B - https://databoks.katadata.co.id/en/technology-telecommunications/statistics/685d3cef5a751/shopee-dominates-southeast-asias-e-commerce-gmv-until-2024">Databoks — Shopee dominance - 2025: SEA platform e-commerce GMV = US$157.6B, +22.8% YoY; top platforms' share expanded to 98.8%. - https://thelowdown.momentum.asia/new-report-southeast-asias-platform-ecommerce-reaches-us157-6b-in-2025-with-top-platforms-expanding-share-to-98-8/">Momentum Works - https://technode.global/2026/04/14/southeast-asias-ecommerce-market-up-22-8-percent-year-on-year-to-157-6b-in-2025-momentum-works/">TNGlobal - https://english.news.cn/asiapacific/20260414/8b579cf73a3f474088c05122a2cbadae/c.html">Xinhua - https://www.businesstimes.com.sg/zh-hans/international/asean/south-east-asia-e-commerce-gmv-grows-us157-6-billion-2025">Business Times SG (Chinese) - SEA e-commerce projected +16% growth in 2025; video commerce (TikTok Shop) and AI reshape shopping. https://www.business-standard.com/world-news/southeast-asia-ecommerce-growth-video-commerce-ai-shopping-digital-economy-125111100989_1.html">Business Standard

Per-country (2024–2025)

Indonesia — largest SEA market: - E-commerce to surpass US$46B in 2025 (GlobalData; $46.6B per Retail Asia). - https://www.globaldata.com/media/banking/indonesias-e-commerce-market-surpass-46-billion-2025-forecasts-globaldata/">GlobalData - https://retailasia.com/e-commerce/news/indonesia-e-commerce-market-hit-466b-2025">Retail Asia - B2C e-commerce to grow 10.6% to US$43.4B (R&M databook — slightly different scope). https://www.researchandmarkets.com/reports/6191233/indonesia-b2c-ecommerce-market-size-and-forecast">ResearchAndMarkets - Indonesia remains SEA's largest e-commerce market in 2025. https://databoks.katadata.co.id/en/technology-telecommunications/statistics/69e1a07207d12/indonesia-remains-southeast-asias-largest-e-commerce-market-in-2025">Databoks - Digital economy to grow ~13%; Shopee anchors via logistics + local seller programs; Tokopedia (with GoTo) cross-promotion. https://en.tempo.co/read/1940641/google-predicts-indonesias-digital-economy-to-grow-by-13-driven-by-e-commerce-innovation#1">Tempo, https://secure.businesswire.com/news/home/20260129537865/en/Indonesia-B2C-Ecommerce-Business-Report-2025-Shopee-Anchors-the-Market-Through-Logistics-and-Local-Seller-Programs-Tokopedia-Leverages-Cross-Promotion-Supported-by-Gojek---Forecast-to-2029---ResearchAndMarkets.com">ResearchAndMarkets — Indonesia B2C business report

Vietnam: - 2024 e-commerce = US$25B, +20% YoY. https://en.baochinhphu.vn/print/viet-nams-e-commerce-market-up-20-in-2024-111250107155234946.htm">Bao Chinh Phu, https://english.baoquangninh.vn/viet-nam-s-e-commerce-hits-us-25-billion-in-2024-3338580.html">Bao Quang Ninh - 2025 online retail sales +35% to > US$16B (VCCI); Vietnamese spend ~US$45M/day online. - https://en.vcci.com.vn/economic-news/online-retail-sales-in-vietnam-jump-35-to-over-16-bln-in-2025-report-114817">VCCI - https://en.vietnamplus.vn/vietnamese-spend-45-million-usd-a-day-online-shopping-post335990.vnp">VietnamPlus - https://vietnamnews.vn/economy/1763770/vietnamese-spend-45-million-a-day-online-shopping.html">Vietnam News - https://e.vnexpress.vn/news/business/economy/vietnamese-consumers-spend-16b-on-online-shopping-among-highest-in-southeast-asia-4907392.html">VnExpress - E-commerce > 10% of retail sales. https://english.thesaigontimes.vn/e-commerce-tops-10-of-retail-sales-in-vietnam/">Saigon Times - Forecast US$70B by 2030. https://vntradetoca.org/en/vietnam-e-commerce-forecast-to-reach-us70-billion-by-2030/">VN Trade - TikTok Shop (vs Shopee) revenue +93% YoY competition context. https://www.vietnam.vn/en/so-ke-thi-phan-voi-shopee-tiktok-shop-tang-truong-doanh-thu-den-93-nam">Vietnam.vn

Thailand: - 2025 market value forecast ₿6,770–7,470 billion (~US$200–220B — likely broad total e-commerce incl. digital services; flag). https://www.100ec.cn/detail--6638704.html">100EC - TikTok Shop Thailand 2025 revenue ฿54.4B (~4x YoY), overtook Lazada for #2; TikTok Shop became most profitable player. - https://www.baijing.cn/article/55754">Baijing - https://m.163.com/dy/article/KVU2461H05118A6A.html">163 - https://www.magzter.com/en/stories/newspaper/Bangkok-Post/TIKTOK-SHOP-FLEXES-MUSCLE-IN-3WAY-THAILAND-TUSSLE">Bangkok Post via Magzter - https://www.chwang.com/news/207032220028">Chuang — 350% revenue jump - Shopee & Lazada Thailand combined revenue > ฿78B. https://www.bigseller.com/blog/articleDetails/3308.htm">BigSeller - Market outlook & SMS-driven growth context. https://www.nationthailand.com/blogs/business/trade/40045919">Nation Thailand, https://www.jinfengkou.com/show-219075.html">Jinfengkou

Philippines: - 2024 e-commerce market ≈ US$24.5B; forecast to exceed US$75B by 2033. - https://www.amz123.com/kx/SIcwmaDI">AMZ123 - https://www.amz123.com/kx/BnSjbSgm">AMZ123 — 2033 forecast - https://36kr.com/p/3190380400021634">36Kr - Platform overview (Shopee/Lazada/TikTok Shop). https://cube.asia/e-commerce-in-philippines/">Cube

Malaysia: - E-commerce revenue RM937.5B for 9M 2025 (+1.9% YoY)very broad national digital-economy measurement, not comparable to B2C GMV. - https://www.freemalaysiatoday.com/category/business/2025/11/26/malaysias-e-commerce-revenue-rises-1-9-to-rm937-5bil">Free Malaysia Today - https://technode.global/2025/11/27/e-commerce-continues-to-drive-malaysias-digital-economywith-227-billion-in-revenue-for-the-first-three-quarters-of-2025/">TNGlobal - https://sme.asia/malaysias-e-commerce-revenue-reaches-rm937-5-bil-in-9m-2025/">SME.asia - B2C e-commerce to reach US$21.42B by 2029 (R&M). https://www.researchandmarkets.com/reports/6191229/malaysia-b2c-ecommerce-market-size-and-forecast">ResearchAndMarkets - Malaysia = SEA's fastest-growing digital economy (e-Conomy SEA 2025). https://thesun.my/business/asean-business/malaysias-digital-economy-is-southeast-asias-fastest-growing-e-conomy-sea-report-2025/">The Sun - NST analysis — Malaysia's e-commerce story as ASEAN's next growth chapter. https://www.nst.com.my/business/insight/2025/10/1296140/malaysias-e-commerce-story-also-aseans-next-growth-chapter">NST

Singapore: - B2C e-commerce US$16.39B in 2024 → US$25.5B by 2029 (R&M). https://www.globenewswire.com/fr/news-release/2026/01/29/3228356/28124/en/Singapore-B2C-Ecommerce-Industry-Report-2025-A-25-5-Billion-Market-by-2029-from-16-39-Billion-in-2024-Size-Forecast-by-Value-and-Volume-Across-80-KPIs.html">GlobeNewswire - Platform market expanded +21% in 2024, led by Shopee. https://www.straitstimes.com/business/singapores-e-commerce-platform-market-expands-by-21-led-by-shopee">Straits Times - e-Conomy SEA: Singapore digital economy ~US$29B GMV (2024). https://ceoworld.biz/2024/11/06/sea-digital-economy-poised-for-growth-with-ai-and-e-commerce-leading-the-charge-singapore-to-reach-29-billion-in-gmv-by-2024/">CEOWORLD

Platform landscape & live/social commerce


7. Regional context (Asia-Pacific vs global)


Conflicting numbers to flag in the final report

  1. Japan market size: ¥26.1T (2024, current METI series) vs older ~¥15–16T B2C figures — definition/vintage change; cite METI FY2024 survey.
  2. Australia 2024: A$69B (AusPost "online spend") vs US$37.2B (retail-only estimate).
  3. India size: US$200B+ (GlobalData, total) vs US$140–160B (ET) vs narrower B2C databooks — differ by scope.
  4. SEA totals: e-Conomy SEA e-commerce US$159B (2024) / US$181B (2025) vs Momentum Works platform-only US$128.4B (2024) / US$157.6B (2025) — platform GMV vs broader e-commerce incl. non-platform and services.
  5. Thailand 2025: ₿6.77–7.47T broad total-e-commerce forecast vs much smaller platform revenue figures — different scopes.
  6. Malaysia RM937.5B (9M 2025): very broad national digital-economy measurement, not comparable to B2C GMV figures.
  7. Indonesia: US$46B (GlobalData) vs US$43.4B (R&M B2C) — scope/databook differences.
  8. India festive 2025: Redseer ₹1.15 lakh crore (+20%) vs Datum ₹1.2 lakh crore (+27%).

Data gaps (no specific figure retrieved)


Method note