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Kina
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QKoliko je veliko tržište e-trgovine Kina i kako raste?
Online maloprodaja 15,97 tisuća JPY (2025, +8,6%), ≈2,2 tisuća USD (NBS); ¥15,52T (2024, +7,2%); online maloprodaja fizičke robe čini 26,1% ukupne maloprodaje
+8,6% (2025, NBS ); ulazak u zrelu tržišnu utakmicu (udio u ukupnoj maloprodaji lagano pada dvije uzastopne godine); livestream e-trgovina čini ~40% kineske e-trgovine
Proširi: izvorni odjeljak globalnog izvješća (detalji zemalja/podtržišta i izvori)
5.1 China (world’s largest single market)
- 2024 online retail sales ¥15.52 trillion (+7.2%); 2025 about ¥15.97 trillion (+8.6%) — about $2.2T at prevailing exchange rates (National Bureau of Statistics, NBS).
- Source: https://dzswgf.mofcom.gov.cn/news/43/2025/1/1737092576375.html ; https://dxpress.gelonghui.com/live/2261628
- 2025 physical-goods online retail was 26.1% of total social consumer-goods retail, and has slipped slightly for two consecutive years — Chinese ecommerce has entered a "stock-competition" phase.
- Source: https://paper.people.com.cn/rmrbhwb/pc/content/202602/10/content_30139768.html
- Platform landscape: CR5 (top five platforms) concentration 78.3% (2024, ⚠️ source is an industry report uploaded to Renren Doc, not independently verified); Douyin ecommerce 2024 GMV about ¥3.5 trillion (+30%); live commerce is about 40% of Chinese ecommerce (2025).
- Source: https://www.renrendoc.com/paper/498298000.html ; https://finance.sina.com.cn/roll/2025-02-15/doc-inekpnsk6506769.shtml ; https://ecommercechinaagency.com/douyins-live-commerce-40-of-chinas-e-commerce-pie-in-2025/
- Cross-border ecommerce: 2025 imports and exports are about 70% higher than five years earlier; Temu 2024 net profit about €14.3B, still growing at about 40%.
- Source: https://imgs-b2b.100ec.cn/detail--6656317.html ; https://cross-border-magazine.com/pdd-holdings-net-profit-2024/
QKoje su Top 5 platformi e-trgovine u Kina i kako su rangirane?
Taobao/Tmall (Alibaba) je #1 (GMV procjena ~8T¥); rangovi 2–4 su sporni—2024 JD ≥ Pinduoduo > Douyin , 2025 Douyin hvatanje/nadmašivanje JD (100EC kaže da je prošlo; JD poriče); Kuaishou #5. Samo Kuaishou službeno otkriva GMV; ostalo su procjene treće strane.
Proširi: izvorni odjeljak izvješća Top-5 (tablice GMV / prihoda / korisnika / pozicioniranja)
4. China
Ranking basis: by GMV (third-party estimates, calendar year) — Chinese platforms almost never disclose GMV: only Kuaishou discloses officially; JD.com stopped after 2017, Alibaba discloses growth rates only, and Pinduoduo/Douyin never disclose. So 4 of 5 GMVs are third-party estimates (±10–30% error) and must be labeled.
| Rank | Platform | Company | GMV (est.) | Company revenue (official) | Users | Positioning & strengths |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Taobao/Tmall | Alibaba | ~¥8 trillion (2024 est., about $1.1T) | FY2025 ¥996.3 billion (+6%, fiscal-year definition) | Annual buyers ~1 billion; 11.11 DAU 508 million | Tmall B2C brand stores + Taobao C2C long tail; strongest in apparel, beauty, home; 88VIP; 2025 launched Taobao Flash Sale |
| 2–4 (tight race) | Pinduoduo | PDD Holdings | ~¥4.3–4.4 trillion (2025 est.; another estimate ¥5.2 trillion) | 2025 revenue ¥430 billion+ (+10%); Q4 ¥123.9 billion (+12% but profit −12%) | 900 million+ buyers; 11.11 DAU 414 million | Extreme low price + group buying + 10-billion subsidy; lower-tier markets and agricultural products; Temu going overseas |
| 2–4 (tight race) | JD.com | JD Group | ~¥4.5 trillion (2024 rumor) | 2025 revenue ¥1,309.1 billion (+13%); net profit ¥27.0 billion (another definition ¥19.6 billion) | Annual active 700 million+; 11.11 DAU 227 million | 1P 3C/appliances + owned logistics + JD Instant Delivery; 2025 entered food delivery; claims it still leads Douyin by ¥1 trillion |
| 2–4 (tight race) | Douyin ecommerce | ByteDance | ¥3.5 trillion (2024, +30%) → 2025 expected ¥4.0–4.3 trillion | Not disclosed (private) | MAU 907 million (#1 among all apps) | Pioneer of content/live commerce ("full-domain interest ecommerce"); live GMV share ~28% (ahead of Taobao Live) |
| 5 | Kuaishou ecommerce | Kuaishou Technology | ~¥1.6 trillion (2025, official+media) | FY2025 ¥142.8 billion (+12.5%); adjusted net profit ¥20.6 billion (a record) | DAU declining (only one of the five major content platforms) | Live commerce + lower-tier markets ("trust ecommerce"); agricultural products/white-label; Kuaishou distribution system |
⚠️ Key definition notes: 1. Ranks 2–4 are contested: 2024 estimates put JD.com (~¥4.5 trillion) ≥ Pinduoduo (~¥4.3–4.4 trillion) > Douyin (¥3.5 trillion); 2025 estimates have Douyin (~¥4.3 trillion) catching/overtaking JD.com, and 100EC says Douyin has already overtaken Pinduoduo and JD.com (JD.com denies this). This table presents them as a tie. 2. GMVs are all third-party estimates (except Kuaishou); revenues are official disclosures but use different definitions (marketplaces recognize only commissions/ad revenue; JD.com 1P recognizes full merchandise value). 3. Data definitions: Alibaba is fiscal year (April–following March); the others are calendar year; NBS online retail ¥15.97 trillion (2025, +8.6%) includes services and is not directly comparable with platform GMV. 4. Kuaishou GMV conflict: media report ~¥1.6 trillion vs 100EC report ¥521.8 billion (possibly a quarterly figure or a transcription error).
2025 developments: the price war ebbed (618 "abandon the price war"); Douyin "squeezed water" and shifted toward merchant profitability; JD.com entered food delivery/quick commerce (JD Instant Delivery vs Taobao Flash Sale); China live-commerce GMV crossed ¥5 trillion (Douyin ~28%, Taobao Live <20%); Pinduoduo "rebuild another Pinduoduo in three years" plus a ¥100-billion+ supply-chain investment; Alibaba pivoted to AI/cloud as a second curve.
Sources (selected): Taobao/Tmall GMV ¥8 trillion (Xueqiu/Pedaily, low reliability) — https://news.pedaily.cn/202503/547663.shtml ; Alibaba FY25 revenue — https://finance.china.com/TMT/13004688/20250516/48341312.html ; JD.com FY25 — https://finance.sina.com.cn/tech/2026-03-05/doc-inhpxspk3215194.shtml ; Pinduoduo FY25 — https://cneo.com.cn/detail95875.html ; Douyin GMV (36Kr exclusive) — https://m.36kr.com/p/3166066575158018 ; Kuaishou FY25 — https://ir.kuaishou.com/zh-hant/news-releases/news-release-details/kuaishoukejifabu2025niandisijidujiquanniancaiwuyeji?mobile=1 ; live-commerce share — https://www.bxtdata.com/insights/9503/
QŠto vrijedi pratiti?
- Spor oko narudžbe na rangovima 2–4: 2025. Douyin (~4,3T ¥) hvatanje/nadmašivanje JD (JD poriče)
- Zahlađenje cjenovnog rata (618 'napuštanje cjenovnog rata'); Douyin smanjivanje napuhanog GMV-a i pomicanje prema profitabilnosti trgovca
- JD ulazi u dostavu hrane / instant maloprodaju (JD Instant Delivery u odnosu na Taobao Flash Sale); GMV e-trgovine uživo u Kini premašio je 5T JPY (Douyin ~28%)
- Kineska livestream e-trgovina ~900 milijardi USD, približavanje cijelom američkom tržištu e-trgovine; Udio Douyin od 31% prvi je put pretekao Taobao
- Pinduoduo 'obnovite još jedan Pinduoduo u tri godine' + stotine milijardi ulaganja u opskrbni lanac; Alibaba okreće se prema AI/oblaku kao drugoj krivulji
QKoji su ključni uvidi?
- Kineske platforme gotovo nikada ne otkrivaju GMV (službeno to čini samo Kuaishou); 4 od 5 brojki su procjene treće strane (±10–30% pogreške)
- NBS online maloprodajna prodaja ¥15,97T (2025) uključuje usluge i nije izravno usporediva s platformom GMV
- GMV e-trgovine uživo premašio je 5T JPY (Douyin ~28%, Taobao uživo <20%); e-trgovina je ušla u zrelo tržišno natjecanje
QOdakle dolaze ovi dokazi?
Izvorni istraživački dokumenti za ovu regiju (s punim URL-ovima izvora):